With Jet Airways in a financial mess, Air India having its
own concerns and limited network of Vistara, Indigo is the undisputed market
leader in India’s aviation business. However, earlier this month Indigo drew
wrath of lots of passengers has they had to cancel 30+ flights and worse, these
cancellations are extended till end of March. While some excuses like airport
closure, hailstorm etc were given as a reason, the unstated news is that Indigo
is facing shortage of pilots. With this background, many of my readers were
concerned if their Indigo flight will operate as per schedule. Indigo hasn’t
made a specific announcement listing what exact flights are cancelled and which
all will operate as per schedule. Only affected passengers are informed in
person.
So is it safe to continue booking with Indigo? What are the
alternatives? What precautions to take? This post offers my analysis.
Is it safe to book with Indigo? Yes.
Understand that Indigo operate 1300+ flights a day. Cancellation
of 30 of them is about 2.2% of their operation. Probability of your flight is
being one of these 30 is too low
I understand Indigo has been very careful while cancelling
the flights- since the issue is shortage of pilots they can chose which flights
to cancel. Indigo is cancelling only such flights where it is possible to
provide an alternate option to passengers
For example, they will cancel one of the flights from
schedules that have multiple flights per day between cities. There’re 5 direct
flights between Chennai and Delhi- if they have to cut some flights, they would
cut one of these- so that affected passengers can either take an earlier or
later flight OR go for one stop flight via say Hyderabad, Kolkata or Mumbai.
It is not possible predict delays weeks in advance. Delay,
cancellations can happen with any airline, due to dozens of reasons most of
which are not in airline’s control. If you wish to avoid Jet Airways that is
understandable given their crisis situation. If you have Air Vistara with
decent price you might wish to book it blindly. If not Indigo seems to be the
best option, I would say go ahead and book. They do have a decent network-
almost half the market share- there is a small risk but I think it is very low
and worth taking.
My Experience:
I had a flight to Mumbai last weekend. Vistara doesn’t fly
between Mumbai and Chennai, so I had to chose between remaining airlines. I
chose to avoid Jet Airways for now, due to their precarious situation. Of the
remaining- Indigo, Go Air, Air India, Spicejet, Indigo had multiple flights per
day. Thus I decided to take a chance- I flew in Friday night though it would
have been convenient to fly Saturday early morning. This was to factor some
buffer time- in case my flight is cancelled I could take next flight and still
make it to the event in Mumbai. The onward flight was on time. No issues at
all. In fact Spicejet had lots of cancellations.
On the return flight, boarding happened on time, but there
was no copilot. He came in late and we took off some 40 minutes late. We were
told crew had to come in an another flight which was delayed. We also had an
off duty pilot sitting as passenger. Eventually we made it to Chennai with some
30-40 minute delay.
Precautions to take
Keep buffer. If you have a crucial meeting on Monday morning
10 AM, don’t plan such that you’ll land at 8 AM. Take an earlier flight- may be
Sunday evening or Monday very early morning, so that even if there’s an issue
you’ve some buffer time to take alternate flight.
Check Plan B- in case your flight is to be cancelled what
would be your Plan B? Does Indigo got another flight same day? Or is a one stop
flight is viable for you?
Overall, I would say there’s nothing significant to worry
about Indigo’s pilot problem. Go ahead and book if you find Indigo convenient
and cheap.